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Emini SP500 Scalping Strategy

Instead, assign a high emotional value to your ability to execute with cold and remorseless precision, regardless of whether the trade is a winner or a loser. The graphic below is visual representation:. These trading rules or algorithms are designed to identify when to buy and sell a security. March Learn how and when to remove this template message. The Bottom Line Active traders can employ one or many of the aforementioned strategies.

Bid/Ask/Spreads. Bid Definition: A stock's bid is the price a buyer is willing to pay for a times, the term "bid" refers to the highest bidder at the time. Ask Definition: The ask price is the price a seller is willing to sell his/her shares times, the term "ask" refers to the lowest selling price at the time.

1. Day Trading

The midpoint of the trading session is simply the middle price of the trading day. The Midpoint of the trading day contains a significant statistical edge, which I have written about here. As prices make new highs and new lows throughout the trading day, the midpoint will continuously readjust.

It is a dynamic indicator that simply divides the day into two sections. An upper section, and a lower section. The Midpoint is an extremely simple concept to learn. The key takeaway is that if prices are above the Midpoint, then we only want to take Long trades. We want to be a buyer, hoping for higher prices.

We want to stay on the side of the dominant trend. If prices are higher than the Midpoint, then look to be a buyer. The market ebbs and flows. We want to be a buyer when the market ebbs.

We want to enter our trade as it pulls back. However, the pullback must remain above the Midpoint. How do we calculate a pullback? Truth be told, there are hundreds of indicators that work just fine. Whether it be a moving average, an oscillator, Bollinger band, or a Fibonacci point…it really does not matter. Many a charlatan will attempt to sell you some sort of magical indicator that supposedly can predict short term support zones.

You get the point. One of my favorites is the Keltner Channel. Which is nothing more than a moving average that plots the standard deviation of the moving average. No, there is nothing predictive of the Keltner Channel. However, it serves the simple purpose of displaying areas just outside of the current price.

For this strategy, we will plot the Keltner Channel of 6,1. What does this mean? We are only using a 6-period moving average, and plotting the upper and lower band of 1 standard deviation. And we can see a simple Keltner Channel. Notice how the price ebbs and flows between Keltner Channel. Once again, there is nothing predictive about the Keltner Channel. Nothing magical is happening.

Instead, the Keltner Channel is simply plotting a single standard deviation of a 6 period moving average. However, by simple observation, we can see that price tends to bounce back and forth between the channel.

But this is just an observation, and we must remember the fallacy of patternicity. So what should we do? We have to test the theory. We have to build a fully automated strategy based upon clearly defined variables. In this case, we want to test the theory that we should buy the emini SP futures contract at the bottom of the Keltner Channel. And we should exit the trade for a profit at the upper portion of the channel. The graphic below is visual representation:. As we take a quick glance at this equity curve, this tells us only one thing—that the concept is robust.

However, what about the individual trade metrics? Is this currently a tradable system? What about slippage and commission costs? However, we currently have a massive sample size of 7, trades. And we have a robust concept. How can improve this system? I can trade this for a few ticks and make a profit. However, we are not in this to make only a few dollars profit each trade.

We are in this to make actual money that we can spend on food and diapers. In a prior post, I talked about a scalping strategy for the crude oil market that uses a volatility filter to day trade the Crude Oil Futures market. You can read about that strategy here. In that strategy, we used an obscure volatility indicator named the OVX. Which essentially measures options prices for crude oil stocks. With our current strategy, we are going to use the VIX index as a filter.

What is the VIX index? Essentially, when the VIX is rising, then options prices for stocks within the SP are becoming unstable and fear is entering the market. When the VIX is rising, we need to be cautious about entering long trades. The VIX is a warning us that a sell-off could happen at any moment or is currently happening. Instead of taking each and every trade, we only want to take trades if the VIX is decreasing.

The following is the performance graphic:. Ok, so what are we looking at? This is a graphical display of only taking trades if the VIX is below 0 for the trading day.

As you can see, the lower the VIX, the higher our average trade and profit factor. As a rule of thumb, you only want to consider a day trading system that has a minimum of trades. The larger the sample size, the lower the chance of a random outcome. Which would I choose? For myself, I would select the parameters from test The market is clearly stating that fear is rapidly leaving the market, and higher Emini SP prices are a near certainty.

Ok, so looking at the performance metrics we can see that with a stupid simple filter…we have created something actually tradeable, and made the following improvements:.

So what is the key takeaway? And work the edge. You need to test everything. Usually, they slink back under the rock from which they came. Especially someone selling a magical trading indicator. You must take control of your trading and you must test everything. The system that I have written about is something you can use tomorrow. My sincere hope is that you will take the concept and improve upon it.

And believe me when I tell you…it can be improved to something so compelling that the money will practically beg to jump into your trading account. Instead, the holy grail is having a large stable of trading systems.

Only take trades where you know beforehand…that you have a statistical advantage. Treat your trading like a casino. Like you own the casino. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed. I am struggling to replicate similar results. First section without the VIX filter is close so I guess my code for the filter must be incorrect. Has anybody on this forum managed to get similar results? I appreciate your material and your willingness to expand content on this site.

I believed you saved new traders from predators more times than we can even fathom. I look forward to reading content that will help expand the realm of my knowledge base. As you you stated before, most of your readers are not aware of automated strategies.

Any exposure, even if slightly flawed, will help increase awareness into back testing strategies. A scalp trader can look to make money in a variety of ways. One method is to have a set profit target amount per trade. This profit target should be relative to the price of the security and can range between. This method requires an enormous amount of concentration and flawless order execution.

Lastly, some scalp traders will follow the news, and trade upcoming or current events that can cause increase volatility in a stock. This is due to the fact that losing and winning trades are generally equal in size. The necessity of being right, is the primary factor scalp trading is such a challenging method of making money in the market.

One of the most attractive ways to scalp the market is by using an oscillator as the indicator leads the price action. Yes, it sounds pretty simple; however, it is probably one of the hardest trading methodologies to nail down. Since oscillators are leading indicators, they provide many false signals. The slow stochastic consists of a lower and an upper level.

The lower level is the oversold area and the upper level is the overbought area. When the two lines of the indicator cross upwards from the lower area, a long signal is triggered. When the two lines of the indicator cross downwards from the upper area, a short signal is generated. This is the 5-minute chart of Netflix from Nov 23, At the bottom of the chart, we see the stochastic oscillator. The circles on the indicator represent the trade signals.

In this case, we have 4 profitable signals and 6 false signals. The bottom line is the stochastic oscillator is not meant to be a standalone indicator. You need some other form of validation to strengthen the signal before taking a trading opportunity. We will enter the market only when the stochastic generates a proper overbought or oversold signal that is confirmed by the bollinger bands. In order to receive a confirmation from the bollinger band indicator, we need the price to cross the red moving average in the middle of the indicator.

We will stay with each trade until the price touches the opposite bollinger band level. Above is the same 5-minute chart of Netflix. This time, we have included the bollinger bands on the chart. We start with the first signal which is a long trade. Notice that the stochastic generates a bullish signal. However, the price does not break the moving average on the bollinger band. Therefore, the signal is false. The second signal is also bullish on the stochastic and we stay long until the price touches the upper bollinger band.

At the end of this bullish move, we receive a short signal from the stochastics after the price meets the upper level of the bollinger bands for our third signal. A price decrease occurs and the moving average of the bollinger bands is broken to the downside. We have a short signal confirmation and we open a trade. The stochastic generates a bullish signal and the moving is broken to the upside, therefore we enter a long trade.

We hold the trade until the price touches the upper bollinger band level. As you can see on the chart, after this winning trade, there are 5 false signals in a row.

Talk about a money pit! The good thing for us is that the price never breaks the middle moving average of the bollinger band, so we ignore all of the false signals from the stochastic oscillator. After the 5 false signals, the stochastic provides another sell sign, but this time the price of Netflix breaks the middle moving average of the bollinger band. If we compare the two trading methodologies, we realize that with the bollinger bands we totally neutralized all the false signals.

Each of these trades took between 20 and 25 minutes. While these trades had larger percentage gains due to the increased volatility in Netflix, the average scalp trade on a 5-minute chart will likely generate a profit between 0. As you can see, the stochastic oscillator and bollinger bands complement each other nicely. This is really my favorite of all the strategies. Simply put, you fade the highs and buy the lows.

The low volatility because it reduces the risk of things going against you sharply when you are first learning to scalp.

The trading range provides you a simple method for where to place your entries, stops and exits. Why the E-mini contract?

Well it has low volatility, so you have lower risk of blowing up your account if you use less leverage and the E-mini presents a number of trading range opportunities throughout the day. Notice how the tight trading range provides numerous scalp trades over a one-day trading period.

Later on, in this article we will touch on scalping with Bitcoin, which presents the other side of the coin with high volatility. Now we need to explore the management of risk on each trade to your trading portfolio. Therefore, your risk per trade should be small, hence your stop loss order should be close to your entry.

This is the 2-minute chart of Oracle Corporation from Nov 24, There were three trades: For the first trade, the stochastic crossed below the overbought area, while at the same time the price crossed below the middle moving average of the bollinger band. The price began decreasing and 14 minutes later, ORCL hit the lower bollinger band. We exited the trade at After hitting the lower bollinger band, the price started increasing. The stochastic lines crossed upwards out of the oversold area and the price crossed above the middle moving average of the bollinger band.

This trade proved to be a false signal and our stop loss of. After the price crossed above the oversold territory and the price closed above the middle moving average, we opened a long position.

This time Oracle increased and we closed a profitable trade 2 minutes after entering the market when the price hit the upper bollinger band, representing a 0. The total time spent in each trade was 18 minutes. Usually, when you scalp trade you will be involved in many trades during a trading session. Sometimes, scalp traders will trade more than trades per session.

The Spread

The strategy generally works by making the spread or buying at the bid price and selling at the ask price to receive the difference between the . The two price are called the Bid and the Ask, and understanding the “bid ask spread” is crucial if you want to get into day trading. The Bid and Ask Price If you view a stock quote on a website, you’ll often see only one “current” price listed. Day trading markets have two separate buying and selling prices known: the bid and ask, which respectively mean buying and selling. The distance between these two prices can vary and affect whether a particular market can be traded.